Market Pulse Daily: Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Bitcoin Insights, Friday, October 17, 2025
🎯 Summary
Comprehensive Summary of the Technology & Trading Podcast Episode
This podcast episode, framed by a philosophical opening about the importance of resilience and hard work over innate ability (citing Joshua Waltzkin), quickly pivots into a detailed technical analysis of current market conditions, focusing heavily on technical analysis methodologies applied to stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.
1. Main Narrative Arc and Key Discussion Points
The central narrative arc revolves around identifying potential market tops in major indices (S&P and Nasdaq 100) and preparing actionable, risk-managed strategies for a potential downturn, while simultaneously highlighting the strong bullish momentum in Gold. The host emphasizes continuous learning and practice trading over speculative real-money moves.
2. Major Topics, Themes, and Subject Areas Covered
- Market Analysis: Detailed charting and technical review of the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (the “Qs”), 20-Year US Government Bonds, Gold, and Bitcoin.
- Trading Strategy: Focus on identifying reversal signals, risk management, and utilizing inverse instruments.
- Educational Content Promotion: Promotion of proprietary training materials, including a book (Who is Dedicated), options trading series, and specific training on inverse funds and volume analysis.
- Market Psychology: Discussion of how volume relates to price action, referencing the teachings of Anna Cooling.
3. Technical Concepts, Methodologies, or Frameworks Discussed
The host employs a specific technical framework, likely derived from Jesse Livermore’s principles, utilizing candlestick patterns across multiple timeframes (weekly, two-day, half-day):
- Candlestick Patterns: Specific attention paid to Doji (indicating indecision) and Spinning Tops (both green and red, signaling potential reversals). The host prefers a Red Spinning Top following current patterns to confirm a short entry.
- Volume Analysis: Volume is crucial; the host looks for volume spikes aligning with price movements. Increased volume backing a down move in Bitcoin is noted as bearish confirmation.
- Inverse Funds: Extensive discussion on using Inverse ETFs (like SH for the S&P 500 and PSQ for the Nasdaq 100) to profit from market declines.
- Three-Wave Trading Advantage: Mentioned as a core concept in the host’s book, relating to analyzing price movements across weekly, two-day, and half-day charts.
4. Business Implications and Strategic Insights
The primary business implication is risk mitigation for technology professionals whose portfolios may be heavily weighted in growth stocks (represented by the Nasdaq). The strategic insight is to prepare defensive positions before a major market shift occurs, rather than reacting to it. The host positions their platform as an education firm, not a stock-calling service, emphasizing that subscribers must practice these strategies.
5. Key Personalities, Experts, or Thought Leaders Mentioned
- Joshua Waltzkin: Referenced in the opening quote regarding resilience.
- Jesse Livermore: The historical trading legend whose principles underpin the host’s charting methodology.
- Anna Cooling: Mentioned as a key influence on the host’s understanding of volume and market psychology.
6. Predictions, Trends, or Future-Looking Statements
- S&P/Nasdaq: The host is cautiously watching for a significant down day tomorrow (Friday) that could trigger an entry into a short position or practice trade using inverse funds.
- Gold: The host maintains a strongly bullish stance, noting its recent dramatic breakout after weeks of sideways movement, suggesting it “is still kicking and climbing.”
- Bitcoin: The trend is clearly bearish, with consistent selling pressure backed by high volume since early October.
7. Practical Applications and Real-World Examples
- Inverse Fund Mechanics: The host explains that inverse funds (like SH and PSQ) are priced differently than the underlying index but are designed to move the same percentage inversely.
- Practice Trading: Strong advice is given to practice trade inverse funds and options (puts) before deploying real capital due to the inherent risks (higher costs, potential for magnified losses).
- Trade Execution: The host outlines a potential entry trigger: if the S&P confirms a down move tomorrow, they may enter a position that can be added to or exited based on performance.
8. Controversies, Challenges, or Problems Highlighted
The main challenge highlighted is the risk associated with inverse funds. The host explicitly warns that these instruments have higher costs and can magnify losses if the market moves against the trader’s position. Furthermore, the indecision shown by the Doji patterns in the S&P/Nasdaq is a source of caution, as they prefer a clearer reversal signal (like a strong spinning top) over ambiguity.
9. Solutions, Recommendations, or Actionable Advice Provided
- Dedication: Commit daily to learning, mirroring the host’s dedication to the podcast.
- Education: Review the attached training on Inverse Funds (the good, the bad, the ugly) and the article on Volume Analysis based on Anna Cooling’s work.
- Practice: Use practice trades for any shorting strategies involving inverse ETFs or put options.
- Monitor Gold: Remain bullish and attentive to the strong upward trend in gold.
10. Context About Why This Conversation Matters to the Industry
For technology professionals, who are often heavily invested in the growth sector tracked by the Nasdaq, this episode provides a timely, technical framework for **portfolio
🏢 Companies Mentioned
đź’¬ Key Insights
"This is what makes me cautious. We got a, we had three dogies here, and then things took off again. They didn't crash. They took off again."
"The three-wave trading advantage. All about the three waves you see on the screen, the weekly, the two-day, and the half-day..."
"It is an article that we wrote based upon Anna Coolings' teachings, and she is a big student of Jesse Livermore and several other people, but it's all about market psychology, what volume means when compared to price. Very insightful."
"They do have higher costs. They can magnify your losses if they go in the opposite direction. They're revalued quite often every day, and again, it can sink you, but it's the kind of thing that if you're ever going to do it in the future with real money, you ought to be practicing it."
"The moment we believe that success is determined by an ingrained level of ability as opposed to resilience and hard work, we will be brittle in the face of adversity."
"I may enter a position that I can add to later or pull out of if it doesn't work."