⚠️Larry Fink sorprende al mundo financiero: su última predicción podría cambiarlo todo⚠️
🎯 Summary
Podcast Summary: ⚠️Larry Fink sorprende al mundo financiero: su última predicción podría cambiarlo todo⚠️
This 16-minute episode of “Cripto Mercados y Pymes” focuses on significant market movements, institutional adoption trends, and a highly bullish long-term prediction from BlackRock’s CEO, Larry Fink, all within the context of a current market correction.
1. Focus Area
The primary focus is on Cryptocurrency Markets (Bitcoin and Altcoins), analyzed through on-chain metrics, institutional investment flows (ETFs), and corporate treasury strategies (MicroStrategy). A secondary focus is on the tokenization of traditional finance (TradFi) and the performance of Gold as a macro hedge.
2. Key Technical Insights
- MicroStrategy (MSTR) Chart Analysis: The stock is currently in a consolidation phase (lateralization) since its November 2021 high. Technical indicators (RSI at 46, MACD nearing a bullish crossover) suggest a potential upward breakout if Bitcoin decisively breaks into new all-time high territory (above $120k-$140k).
- On-Chain Accumulation Divergence: While the average retail trader activity (transactions under $1,000) has been declining since mid-2024, whales (holding 100-1,000 BTC) and institutional buyers (via ETFs) are aggressively accumulating, suggesting the current price movement is driven by “smart money.”
- Historical MACD Signal: A recent bullish MACD crossover on Bitcoin mirrors historical patterns (Oct 2023, Oct 2024, May 2025) that preceded significant rallies of 30% to 164%.
3. Market/Investment Angle
- ETF Dominance: Bitcoin Spot ETFs saw their second-best day since launch, with BlackRock leading purchases ($969 million), underscoring massive institutional inflow.
- MicroStrategy Valuation Potential: If Bitcoin reaches $150,000, MicroStrategy’s treasury holdings would place it among the top cash-rich companies globally, surpassing giants like Nvidia, Apple, and Meta in available cash reserves.
- Gold vs. Bitcoin: Gold continues to hit all-time highs (futures briefly over $4,000), showing a 100% increase against the dollar in the last 19 months—a doubling rate not seen since the post-Nixon Shock era.
4. Notable Companies/People
- Larry Fink (BlackRock CEO): Made the headline prediction that the total market capitalization of crypto assets could reach $15 trillion by the end of the current bull cycle, implying a Bitcoin price near $240,000–$250,000.
- Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy): His company is now ranked among the top 200 global companies by market cap due to its aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy.
- Christine Lagarde (ECB President): Reiterated her stance that Bitcoin is not digital gold but expressed a positive view on stablecoins.
- Bank of New York Mellon (BNY Mellon): Exploring the launch of tokenized deposits and blockchain-based payments, signaling major TradFi adoption.
- BNB: Surpassed Tether (USDT) to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.
5. Regulatory/Policy Discussion
- The discussion highlights the increasing integration of crypto into TradFi, evidenced by BNY Mellon’s exploration of tokenized deposits, suggesting that regulatory resistance is yielding to technological necessity across major banking institutions.
- The launch of a new S&P Dow Jones Crypto Index (comprising 15 cryptos and 35 crypto-related stocks) further solidifies the institutional framing of the asset class.
6. Future Implications
The episode suggests the market is heading toward a phase of deep institutional integration and tokenization. Larry Fink’s $15 trillion market cap prediction, while considered highly optimistic by the host, signals that the largest asset managers see crypto as a multi-trillion-dollar asset class that will capture significant global capital. The divergence between whale accumulation and retail disinterest suggests a maturing market where large capital dictates price discovery.
7. Target Audience
Crypto Investors, Financial Analysts, and Professionals in Finance/Technology interested in institutional adoption, on-chain analysis, and macroeconomic trends affecting digital assets.
🏢 Companies Mentioned
💬 Key Insights
"el banco que siempre ha estado asociado al mundo cripto, Bank of New York Mellon, dice que está explorando la posibilidad de lanzar depósitos para clientes tokenizados y pago basados también en tecnología blockchain."
"Larry Fink, el CEO de BlackRock, lanza una predicción para capitalización de mercado al final de este movimiento alcista y no penséis que es conservador: habla de $15 billones de dólares, sería hacer casi un por cuatro respecto a la actual capitalización de mercado."
"el MACD está ahora mismo viendo un cruce alcista. Las tres últimas veces que hemos visto esto: la primera, octubre del 2023, Bitcoin subió después un 164%. La segunda ocasión, octubre del 2024, Bitcoin subió un 89%. La tercera de estas, de este cruce de los que vimos un cruce similar al que estamos o al que vamos a ver ahora, mayo del 2025, Bitcoin subió entonces un 31%."
"Veis cómo el promedio del comercio *retail*, del comercio minorista, sigue decayendo desde mayo del 2024 hasta ahora. A medida que el precio va subiendo, la actividad del mercado minorista baja porque entendemos aquí en este gráfico: mercado minorista, operaciones de menos de $1,000. Los grandes acumulan y acumulan y acumulan y los pequeños desde mediados del ejercicio pasado cada vez tienen menos interés por Bitcoin."
"si Bitcoin llega, alcanza un valor de $150,000 por Bitcoin, aquí está viendo dónde se colocaría la compañía de Michael Saylor: solo tendría por delante en cuanto a tesorería disponible a Microsoft con $95 millones de dólares. MicroStrategy tendría $80 millones de dólares, además de Microsoft, Google con $95 millones, Amazon con $97 millones y la compañía de Warren Buffett con $344 millones de dólares. Dejaría atrás compañías como Nvidia, estarían por debajo en cuanto a tesorería, disponibilidad de tesorería, compañías como Nvidia, Apple, Meta, Tesla o General Motors, entre otras."
"BNB, con la subida de esta última hora, supera a Tether, la moneda estable, en capitalización de mercado y se convierte en esa forma en la tercera criptomoneda por capitalización, superando a Tether y a XRP."