Con Bitcoin de nuevo en $ 124.000 Saylor suelta esta advertencia
🎯 Summary
Podcast Episode Summary: Con Bitcoin de nuevo en $124.000 Saylor suelta esta advertencia
This episode of Crypto Mercado Cipimés focuses heavily on Bitcoin’s recent price surge, technical analysis suggesting potential continuation, and broader market developments, including institutional adoption and significant movements in the DeFi/Layer 2 space.
The main narrative arc centers on Bitcoin briefly touching the $124,000 level (though the host seems to reference a previous high near $129,000 or $120,000 in context, noting the current movement is significant). The host emphasizes the importance of the weekly closing price for Bitcoin, suggesting that if it closes near the current highs, it would represent the largest weekly candle in history, signaling strong bullish momentum.
A key feature of the episode is the introduction of a proprietary predictive model that has historically forecasted the peak price of previous bull runs (2017 and 2021). This model is now suggesting a price target for the current cycle, which began in November 2022, and this analysis is being exclusively shared in the host’s premium newsletter.
1. Focus Area
Cryptocurrency market analysis, focusing primarily on Bitcoin (BTC) price action, technical indicators, institutional investment (ETFs), and comparative performance across major altcoins and Layer 2 solutions.
2. Key Technical Insights
- Weekly Closing Significance: The potential for Bitcoin to achieve its largest-ever weekly candle close is highlighted as a major bullish confirmation for the coming weeks, despite recent minor pullbacks.
- Historical Parallels: The host draws comparisons between the current price action and the explosive growth seen in October 2017, when BTC rose from around $4,300 to over $17,700 in a single month.
- Predictive Model: A new, unshared model is mentioned, which has successfully predicted previous cycle tops and is now projecting a target for the current bull run’s final movement.
3. Market/Investment Angle
- ETF Inflows: Bitcoin ETFs in the US saw a very positive day with over $627 million in inflows, indicating strong institutional demand.
- October Performance: October is historically a strong month for Bitcoin, averaging over 28% profitability since 2010.
- Short Squeeze Context: Significant short positions (bets against BTC) have been liquidated, with billions being “barred from the game,” suggesting that the recent price surge overcame significant bearish sentiment.
4. Notable Companies/People
- Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy): Mentioned in the context of his consistent Bitcoin accumulation strategy; the host implies Saylor’s advice is to “preserve Bitcoin.”
- MARA (Marathon Digital): Updated its September data, increasing its strategic Bitcoin reserve to 52,850 BTC.
- Tether (USDT): Reportedly seeking a financing round that values the company highly, potentially placing it as the fourth largest financial company globally (behind JPMorgan, Visa, and Mastercard), showcasing massive crypto adoption value.
- Samsung: Announced integration of Coinbase’s cryptographic access into 75 million Galaxy devices.
- Binance: Shared historical data on BTC performance in past Septembers.
- Venue (VNT): Mentioned for breaking its historical All-Time High, surpassing $1,150.
5. Regulatory/Policy Discussion
The episode briefly touches on the US Federal Government shutdown, noting that authorities suggest it could last until the 15th, but stressing that the market currently views this as irrelevant to crypto price action.
6. Future Implications
The conversation strongly suggests an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, driven by institutional inflows and strong technical patterns. The potential valuation of Tether indicates that the financial integration of crypto entities is rapidly accelerating, placing them alongside traditional financial giants. The introduction of the predictive model hints at potentially much higher price targets for the current cycle.
7. Target Audience
Crypto Investors and Traders who rely on technical analysis, market structure, and institutional flow data to make short-to-medium-term decisions. Professionals interested in the intersection of traditional finance and digital assets will also find the Tether valuation relevant.
🏢 Companies Mentioned
đź’¬ Key Insights
"That model is also talking about a price for the final movement of the bull run, which we started in 2022. I do not have spoilers. The only thing I can tell you is that the model was valid in the movement of 2017 and in the 21, and why this time I would have to leave it to be."
"This TETER, which would put TETER, with this valuation, in front of Bank of America, of Wells Fargo, or Morgan Stanley. Look at a company that comes from the crypto world, 100%, is placed in the top 5 financial entities worldwide, with a value of adoption."
"The financing round that TETER was having, and you know that the company that is behind the main stablecoin of the market, which is USDT, that 500,000,000,000,000, is having a look at the valuation that is made for the entry of that capital, it becomes the fourth financial company of the world."
"In the last 11 months, in the decentralized exchanges. Who is at the head of that ranking? Ethereum, right? At the head of Solana, a volume of $125,000,000,000, in the second place, the Ethereum network, $109,000,000, in the third place, Binance Smart Chain..."
"In this night's bulletin, I'm going to analyze for the first time a model that has never been shown in the newsletter. This model has predicted in previous cycles the maximum price of the final movement of the system. It has worked in 2017, in 2021, and now it is giving a price for the final movement of the system that we saw, starting November 2022."
"Samsung the cryptographic access of Coinbase to 75,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 of the Galaxy device."