Best Altcoin Today (MASSIVE GAINS Ahead)
π― Summary
Podcast Episode Summary: Best Altcoin Today (MASSIVE GAINS Ahead)
This 49-minute episode focuses heavily on actionable cryptocurrency investment strategies, specifically identifying high-potential altcoins based on a proprietary revenue-based metric, while also analyzing broader market movements influenced by macroeconomic factors like the US government shutdown.
1. Focus Area
The primary focus is Cryptocurrency Investment Strategy, centered on identifying undervalued altcoins using a Revenue-Based Valuation Model (a crypto version of the Price-to-Sales ratio). Secondary topics include Bitcoin technical analysis, the impact of the US government shutdown on interest rate expectations, and general market sentiment regarding the current cycleβs longevity.
2. Key Technical Insights
- Upside-Down Head and Shoulders Pattern: The hosts identified and confirmed the completion of an upside-down head and shoulders pattern on the Bitcoin chart, suggesting potential for further upward movement following the breakout.
- Revenue-to-Market Cap Metric: The core technical insight is the introduction of a valuation formula: Market Cap / (7-Day Revenue * 52). A lower resulting number indicates a better value proposition, suggesting projects generating strong revenue relative to their market capitalization are poised for significant gains.
- Bitcoin Trend Line Analysis: The discussion noted that Bitcoin appeared to be flipping an eight-year resistance trend line into support, which is considered a highly bullish technical indicator, despite minor discrepancies in exact touch points on historical charts.
3. Market/Investment Angle
- Revenue as the New Meta: The hosts strongly assert that the market is maturing, prioritizing projects with strong, verifiable revenue (like PancakeSwap) over speculative assets.
- Altcoin Multiplier Potential: They cautioned newer investors against being satisfied with small gains (e.g., 14%), emphasizing that in the current environment, the right altcoin could see 2x or even 14x returns in short periods (weeks).
- Cycle Timing Strategy: The recommended strategy involves accumulating Bitcoin long-term while planning to sell a significant portion of altcoins in mid-to-late November, based on the traditional four-year cycle projection.
4. Notable Companies/People
- PancakeSwap (CAKE): Highlighted as the top winner based on the revenue metric, showing strong performance within the Binance ecosystem.
- BNB Ecosystem: Recommended for deeper investigation due to recent volume and activity.
- CityBank Analysts: Mentioned for providing 12-month price targets for BTC ($181K base case) and ETH ($5K base case).
- Max Kaiser: Briefly referenced for his strong anti-fiat/anti-bank rhetoric, though the hosts disagreed with his delivery style.
5. Regulatory/Policy Discussion
- US Government Shutdown Impact: The shutdown is noted for furloughing 90% of SEC staff and leaving the CFTC understaffed. This delay in key economic data (like employment reports) is fueling increased market bets for a 25 basis point interest rate cut later this month, which is inherently bullish for risk assets like crypto.
- SEC/CFTC Inactivity: The reduced regulatory presence is seen as an indirect positive catalyst for market sentiment in the short term.
6. Future Implications
The conversation suggests the industry is heading toward a phase where fundamental utility and revenue generation will increasingly dictate altcoin success, moving beyond pure narrative hype. The hosts are highly optimistic about the next six weeks, predicting βinsane thingsβ from undervalued altcoins before a potential cycle peak in late 2024/early 2025. Lower interest rates, driven partly by the shutdown, are expected to further boost crypto attractiveness.
7. Target Audience
This episode is most valuable for Active Cryptocurrency Traders and Investors focused on mid-to-low-cap altcoins, those interested in fundamental analysis metrics within crypto, and market participants tracking macroeconomic influences on digital assets.
π’ Companies Mentioned
π¬ Key Insights
"You can't make a million dollars a day in revenue and not have a price correction. The price of Chainlink was probably higher, like several of these months here... Meanwhile, the fundamentals are saying they're significantly better now than they were back then."
"What do we never do? We verify, we don't trust. We verify. We never trust."
"If you're saving in dollars, you're losing. And that's one thing, that's one thing I want to tell if anybody right now, if you're at home and you have dollars in your bank account, you have to do something with them."
"Bottom line, you want to have hard assets, buy gold, buy Bitcoin. Even real estate is top is real estate feels right now is unstable as it is. Like it's not going anywhere. It's one of the better stores of value that's existed for a very long time, whether it's raw land or, you know, houses, whatever it is. But Bitcoin, gold, and real estate, that will set you up for the rest of time."
"JP Morgan now has officially dubbed big buying Bitcoin and gold the debasement trade. There's actually got a name now, and it's, it's true. US dollar debasement or fiat currency debasement."
"If you put your stimulus, your last stimulus check into Bitcoin at the time, obviously, $25K, I think. Yeah. And it was what, how much was the check, do you remember? $1,000, $70 check. It nets you about $26K right now. Wow. Because you got in really close to $4K, and Bitcoin's done about a 26X since $4K."